CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-06-25T05:00:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-06-25T05:00ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/31695/-1
CME Note: Partial halo CME visible to the west in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. The source is a large filament eruption. The filament extended from approximately N15W55 to S30W15 on the disk, with liftoff seen starting around 2024-06-24T21:40Z in SDO AIA 304. Dimming and post-eruptive loops are visible in SDO AIA 193. The eruption is also visible in STEREO A EUV 195 and 304.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2024-06-28T09:09Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 7.67
Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-06-28T06:08Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:
************************************************************************************** % Compiled module: EAM ************************************************************************************** Most pr. speed = 556.0 km/sec The EAM version you are running is: v3 Utilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021 - DOI: 10.1007/s11207-020-01747-4] u_r = 347.508 Acceleration: 1.70390 Duration in seconds: 263285.96 Duration in days: 3.0472912 t2 is negative ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: 1.70 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 796.1 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 28/06/2024 Time: 06:08 UT **************************************************************************************Lead Time: 17.92 hour(s)
Difference: 3.02 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2024-06-27T15:14Z
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